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Indonesia News Portal for Traders | Financial & Business Updates

4 April 2025 13:06  |

Gold price remains depressed around $3,100 ;lacks bearish conviction ahead of US NFP report

Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to capitalize on the previous day's late rebound from the $3,054 area, or a one-week low, and attracts fresh sellers during the Asian session on Friday. However, the risk-off mood, fueled by growing market concerns that US President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs could dent global economic growth and trigger a recession in the US, helps limit losses for the safe-haven precious metal.

Meanwhile, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will resume its rate-cutting cycle soon on the back of a tariffs-driven US economic slowdown keep the US Dollar (USD) depressed near a multi-month low touched on Thursday. This, in turn, is seen as another factor lending support to the non-yielding Gold price. Traders also seem reluctant and opt to wait for the release of the crucial US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report.

Gold price bears seem reluctant amid heightened safe-haven demand

Gold price attracts some sellers for the second successive day on Friday, though a combination of factors should continue to act as a tailwind and limit any meaningful corrective slide from the record high.

US President Donald Trump rattled global financial markets late Wednesday and unveiled reciprocal tariffs of at least 10% on all imported goods, which could negatively impact the world economy.

Traders ramped up expectations that the Federal Reserve will resume its rate-cutting cycle in June and lower borrowing costs four times by the year-end as Trump's trade policies reignite US recession fears.

The yield in the benchmark 10-year US government bond slides below 4.0% for the first time in six months and fails to assist the US Dollar to build on the overnight bounce from a multi-month trough.

Meanwhile, data released on Thursday showed that economic activity in the US services sector eased momentum in March, with the ISM Services PMI falling to 50.8 from 53.5 in February and missing estimates.

Separately, the US Department of Labor (DOL) reported US citizens filing new applications for unemployment insurance ticked lower to 219K for the week ending March 29 from the 225K previous.

The aforementioned fundamental backdrop favors the XAU/USD bulls. Hence, the modest downtick could be attributed to some repositioning trade ahead of the release of the monthly US employment details.

The popularly known US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report is expected to show that the US economy added 135K new jobs in March, though the Unemployment Rate is anticipated to hold steady at 4.1%.( Newsmaker.id)

Source: Fxstreet

 

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