Gold Hits Record as Dollar Sags and Trade War Concerns Persist
Gold rose to a record on Tuesday as a fresh bout of US dollar weakness, criticism of the Federal Reserve by President Donald Trump and persistent trade war concerns underpinned haven demand.
Bullion climbed above $3,435 an ounce for the first time, after surging 2.9% on Monday as the US currency fell to the lowest since late 2023. Trump has contemplated firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell, while making the case for lower interest rates. Fed Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee warned against efforts to curtail the monetary authority’s independence.
“Firing Powell not only undermines the principle of central-bank independence, but risks politicizing US monetary policy in a way that markets will find unsettling,” said Christopher Wong, a strategist at Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp. If the Fed’s credibility is called into question, that could erode confidence in the dollar and accelerate flows into havens, including gold, he said.
The precious metal has soared to successive records this year as the trade conflict has unsettled markets, hurting appetite for risk assets, while accelerating a rush to havens. Holdings in bullion-backed exchange-traded funds have risen for the past 12 weeks, the longest run since 2022. Central banks have also been adding the metal to their reserves, underpinning robust worldwide demand.
On the trade front, China warned nations against striking deals with the US at the expense of Beijing’s interests. Data due this week — including revised forecasts from the International Monetary Fund — may reinforce concerns about a global slowdown.
Banks have become progressively more positive about gold’s prospects as this year’s rally has gone from strength to strength. Among them, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. has forecast the metal could hit $4,000 an ounce midway through next year.
Spot gold gained as much as 0.4% on Tuesday to a new record of $3,444.05 an ounce in early Asian trading. Silver and platinum edged higher, while palladium slipped.
Source : Bloomberg
