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Market & Economic Intelligence Platform Insight on Macro, Commodities, Equities & Policy

19 August 2026 13:54  |

UK Inflation Hits Four-Month High Driven by Energy Prices

UK inflation rose again in July 2026. The annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) climbed to 2.9% from 2.6% in June, marking a four-month high. This figure aligned with market expectations and indicated that price pressures were beginning to intensify once more.

The most significant increase stemmed from the housing and household services sector, where inflation for this category rose to 4.1% from the previous 2.7%. Gas prices surged by 14.7%—the largest increase since October 2022—after Ofgem raised the energy price cap by approximately 13% last month. Electricity prices also rose by 3.6%.

Price pressures were also evident in other categories. Inflation for furniture and household equipment turned positive at 1.0%, while prices for clothing and footwear rose by 0.5%. Prices for alcohol, tobacco, and healthcare services also recorded faster rates of increase compared to the previous month.

However, not all components showed upward pressure. Transport inflation slowed to 3.6% from 5.7% due to falling vehicle fuel prices, particularly for diesel. Average diesel prices dropped sharply between June and July, while food inflation also decelerated to 1.3% from 1.7%.

On a monthly basis, the UK CPI rose by 0.3%, matching market forecasts and exceeding the 0.1% increase seen in June. The data suggests that while some components are cooling, the surge in energy costs remains a primary risk to the UK's inflation outlook.

Newsmaker Analysis: The rise in inflation to 2.9% may prompt the Bank of England to remain cautious about loosening monetary policy. If energy-related pressures continue to mount, the likelihood of interest rates remaining high or even rising further could increase, providing support for the pound sterling. Conversely, if the decline in transport and food prices persists, inflationary pressures could ease again in the coming months.(asd)

Sumber: Newsmaker.id

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