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Indonesia News Portal for Traders | Financial & Business Updates

27 September 2025 03:13  |

Dollar set for second weekly gain amid US economic resilience

The dollar fell but was still on course to notch a second straight week of gains against major peers on Friday after data continued to show U.S. economic resilience, potentially complicating the Federal Reserve's efforts to cut interest rates.

The dollar was down 0.21% to 149.48 against the Japanese yen , on track for a fifth consecutive week of gains and trading near its highest level since August 1.

The euro was up 0.31% to $1.1701. It was on course to finish the week lower, snapping three straight weeks of gains.

US DATA TAKES STEAM OUT OF FED RATE CUT PRICING

U.S. consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of economic activity, rose 0.6% in August, slightly higher than the 0.5% estimated by economists polled by Reuters.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, which is the Fed's preferred inflation measure, rose 0.3% last month, in line with expectations, U.S. Commerce Department data showed.

The dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, fell 0.33% to 98.17. It was still on track for the second straight week of gains.

The two-year note yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations for the Fed, fell 1.8 basis points to 3.645%.

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said he sees limited risks of a big rise in either unemployment or inflation, letting the Fed balance its two goals as it debates further interest rate cuts.

Fed Vice-chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman said the central bank is near to achieving its 2% inflation target and that she believes decisive interest rate cuts are needed to ward off rising trouble in the job market.

Barkin and Bowman are the latest Fed officials to comment on the Fed's decision last week to start cutting rates.

Traders are pricing in an 89.8% chance of a 25 basis-point rate cut at the Fed's next meeting, down from nearly 92% probability a week ago, according to CME's FedWatch tool.

Data had shown on Thursday that U.S. gross domestic product rose by an upwardly revised 3.8% from April through June, beating expectations.

The dollar was down 0.23% to 0.798 against the Swiss franc . It was still on track to finish the week higher, ending a run of six consecutive weeks of losses.

Source : Reuters.com

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