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Market & Economic Intelligence Platform Insight on Macro, Commodities, Equities & Policy

30 June 2026 23:15  |

AI Trade Steals Crypto Market Attention

Bitcoin weakened again on Tuesday (June 30th) and remained stuck below the psychological level of US$60,000. Pressure on the world's largest cryptocurrency continued as market concerns grew over high US interest rates and investor interest in speculative assets waned.

Bitcoin is currently trading around US$58,446, after hitting an intraday high of US$60,527 and a low of US$58,135. This movement indicates that selling pressure remains quite strong, especially as investors are reluctant to aggressively reinvest in riskier assets.

The main pressure on Bitcoin comes from expectations of Federal Reserve policy. After the Fed signaled a hawkish stance at its June meeting, the market is increasingly pricing in the possibility of an interest rate hike this year. A high interest rate environment is typically negative for crypto because assets like Bitcoin do not provide a yield.

Rising yields and interest rates have made investors more attracted to dollar-based assets, which offer a clearer return. As a result, speculative assets like crypto tend to lose appeal, especially when the US dollar remains strong and global markets are cautious.

In addition to interest rate factors, Bitcoin is also still burdened by outflows from spot ETFs. This institutional pressure has prevented Bitcoin from fully recovering. In recent weeks, large investors have appeared more selective and have not yet aggressively re-entered the crypto market.

Risk sentiment is also being held back by geopolitical uncertainty between the United States and Iran. Although Washington has stated the possibility of further talks, Tehran has not made a clear commitment to negotiations. This situation has led investors to be more cautious about high-risk assets.

On the other hand, artificial intelligence (AI) stocks remain a top choice for some speculative investors. Despite a correction, the AI ​​sector is still seen as having strong growth prospects. This situation has limited the flow of funds into crypto, as speculative capital is increasingly invested in AI technology and infrastructure stocks.

Crypto market attention is also focused on political developments in the United States. Crypto companies have reportedly poured significant funds into influencing the 2026 midterm elections. The industry is seeking to push for more digital asset-friendly regulations, primarily through support for pro-crypto candidates and political committees.

Overall, Bitcoin remains in a fragile phase. As long as the price cannot stabilize above US$60,000, selling pressure could continue. The US$58,000 area is the closest support area that needs to be guarded. If this level is breached, Bitcoin risks a deeper decline to the US$56,500 to US$55,000 area.

Meanwhile, if the US dollar begins to weaken, yields fall, and ETF outflows subside, Bitcoin could attempt a rebound to the US$60,000 to US$61,500 area. However, to shift sentiment to a more positive level, the market will need a stronger catalyst, whether from Fed policy, institutional fund flows, or developments in crypto regulations.

In the altcoin market, Ethereum is also still moving weakly at around US$1,566.87. BNB is hovering around US$545.87, Solana around US$73.21, XRP around US$1.035, and Dogecoin around US$0.0708. This movement indicates that the pressure is not limited to Bitcoin but is spreading across the entire crypto market. (arl)

Source: Newsmaker.id

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