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Market & Economic Intelligence Platform Insight on Macro, Commodities, Equities & Policy

19 August 2025 16:18  |

Oil Prices Fall Amid Hopes of Easing Russian Sanctions

World oil prices weakened on Tuesday (August 19th) as investors weighed the possibility of a meeting between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States that could potentially lead to the lifting of sanctions on Russian oil. This raised expectations of additional supply in the market. Brent futures fell 0.72% to $65.80 per barrel, while WTI September futures fell 0.63% to $61.93 per barrel. The more active WTI October contract also fell 0.73% to $62.24 per barrel.

The price decline occurred after oil had closed up around 1% in the previous trading session. The market responded to news from the White House that US President Donald Trump met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy along with European allies, and held direct talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Trump even stated that a direct meeting between Putin and Zelenskiy was being arranged, which could develop into a trilateral meeting.

According to DBS Bank analyst Suvro Sarkar, oil prices are currently largely influenced by developments in the meeting between Trump, Putin, and Zelenskiy. Although a peace agreement has not been reached, geopolitical tensions have eased somewhat. Trump has also reportedly softened his stance on secondary sanctions targeting Russian oil importers, reducing the risk of global supply disruptions.

However, analysts caution that the direction of oil prices still depends on the concrete outcome of these negotiations. Bart Melek of TD Securities believes that if sanctions are truly eased and tensions subside, oil prices could continue to decline, approaching the average target of $58 per barrel from the fourth quarter of 2025 to the first quarter of 2026. (ayu)

Source: Newsmaker.id

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