Oil Rebounds While Traders Weigh Trump Tariffs, Ceasefire Hopes
Oil rebounded from the previous day’s slump while traders assessed President-elect Donald Trump’s threat of new tariffs and progress on a cease-fire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah.
Brent traded above $73 a barrel, after recouping earlier losses. Trump’s announcement of the potential levies on Canada, Mexico and China initially sparked a rally in the dollar that weighed on commodities priced in the currency.
Oil slumped on Monday after Israel said it’s potentially days away from a deal with Hezbollah, which could diminish the risk to Middle Eastern crude supply and ships traversing the region. Still, it remains unclear if the Iran-backed group will accept a truce.
“While the signs are looking constructive, a deal between Israel and Iran could still fail,” which would see any short positions being quickly reversed, said Chris Weston, head of research for Pepperstone Group Ltd. The Trump comments may just be “fighting talk” before the president-elect nominates a US trade representative, he said.
One of the chief architects of Trump’s tariff agenda, former US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer has yet to land a role in the second term.
Oil has been trading in a tight range since the middle of October, with traders weighing geopolitical risks centered around supply from Russia and Iran against expectations for a glut next year. Ahead of a meeting by OPEC+ this weekend, Iran’s representative to the producer group said the cartel has little scope to reverse output cuts due to more supplies from elsewhere.
Brent for January settlement was 0.8% higher at $73.63 a barrel at 10:00 a.m. in London.
WTI for January delivery rose 0.9% to $69.53 a barrel.
Source : Bloomberg
