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Market & Economic Intelligence Platform Insight on Macro, Commodities, Equities & Policy

23 May 2025 21:36  |

Oil slides on Trump tariff threats and OPEC+ supply expectations

Oil prices dropped by 1% on Friday and were set for their first weekly decline in three weeks as U.S. President Donald Trump recommended a 50% tariff on the European Union and expectations rose that OPEC+ will increase crude output further in July.

Brent crude futures fell 64 cents, or 1%, to $63.80 a barrel by 1236 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down 64 cents, or 1.1%, at $60.56.

Prices were already down for a fourth consecutive session, pressured by the OPEC+ output expectations, before the tariff news left Brent on track to fall 2.4% on the week and WTI set for a 3% decline.

President Trump said on Friday that he is recommending a straight 50% tariff on goods from the EU starting on June 1, saying the bloc has been hard to deal with on trade.

"The tariff threats versus the European Union, an important trading partner of the U.S., supports renewed economic slowdown concerns," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

Meanwhile, the OPEC+ group comprising the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia is holding meetings next week expected to yield another output increase of 411,000 barrels per day (bpd) for July.

Reuters reported this month that the group could unwind the rest of its 2.2 million bpd voluntary production cut by the end of October, having already raised output targets by about 1 million bpd for April, May and June.

Source: Reuters

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