Oil set for second weekly rise on trade war truce
Oil prices held steady on Friday, heading for a second consecutive weekly gain due to easing U.S.-China trade tensions though a potential return of Iranian supply limited price gains.
Brent crude futures dipped 1 cent to $64.52 a barrel by 0326 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures added 2 cents to $61.64.
Both contracts fell more than 2% in the previous session following a selloff due to the rising prospect of an Iranian nuclear deal.
President Donald Trump said the U.S. was nearing a nuclear deal with Iran, with Tehran "sort of" agreeing to its terms. However, a source familiar with the talks said there were still issues to resolve.
ING analysts wrote in a note that a nuclear deal lifting sanctions would ease supply risk, allowing Iran to increase oil output and find more willing buyers for its oil. That could result in additional supply of around 400,000 barrels per day (bpd), they said.
Despite the potential supply pressure, both Brent and WTI were up 1% so far this week, after a surge earlier in the week. Sentiment got a boost after the U.S. and China, the world's two biggest oil consumers and economies, agreed to a 90-day pause on their trade war during which both sides would sharply lower trade duties. The hefty reciprocal Sino-U.S. tariffs had raised fears of a sharp blow to global growth and oil demand.
Analysts at BMI, a unit of Fitch Solutions, maintained their forecasts for Brent to average $68 per barrel in 2025 and $71 per barrel in 2026, down from 2024's $80 per barrel, citing the uncertainty of trade policy on the price outlook.
"While the 90-day cooling off period leaves the door open for additional progress on lowering trade barriers on both sides, the uncertainty on longer-term trade policy will limit price upside," the analysts said in a research report.
Source: Reuters
